« All Articles & Film

Impact Study 2025: Carson Beck

Published: May 26, 2025
By: SEC StatCat
Article
Impact Study 2025: Carson Beck

CARSON BECK

Ahh summertime: A lovely time in our college football schedule driven by hot-taking, list-making and sidewalk baking. Affectionally known as Talking Season, this is also when blowhards and engagement farmers tend to dictate the conversations, with not much else is going on in the sports world. And as most can attest, everyone loves a good quarterback debate.

Fresh off wrapping up my annual QB Impact Study, where I chart the top 40-50 returning passers against their most challenging opponents, this analyst is ready to join the fray and guide you towards a more fulfilling discussion. I ground through tape to find traits that translate and metrics that matter — far more illuminating than citing counting stats or scanning box scores. Plus, this exercise has a great track record for singling out the nation’s top signal callers.

This piece will focus on Miami transfer Carson Beck, one of the purest pocket passers around.


(FOR MOBILE: TILT DEVICE SIDEWAYS FOR BETTER TABLE VIEWABILITY)



IMPACT SLATE: Clemson, Alabama, Auburn, Florida, Ole Miss, Texas x2. 


The Skinny

Gawky pocket passer who can damage any defense within structure. Throws a very catchable ball. A standout attacking the midrange. Aggressive downfield spray that generates explosives. Pressed more year-over year. Stupid high Drop Rate. Messy when moved off his mark or pressured.

The Fat

Carson Beck stumbled a bit in 2024, but that doesn’t mean he’s out of the QB1 race. He has ideal size to see over the line and manage the game from the pocket. His throws are extremely catchable, he can operate a pro-style scheme, and likes to eye big type downfield completions. And if you care about such things, his Wins Above Average score is by far the top mark of anyone ahead of this fall. 

In rhythm, Beck has a compelling case to be the nation’s best. He has pretty good eyes surveying the field and is sound getting the ball out. He can work from any set and even take care of business operating from under center. Even with the aid of plenty of scheme elements skewing his stats, his ability to execute dropback progressions is among the best in the class. There are multiple examples of finding the last read and making opponents pay with his processing power. He’s quite sound identifying leverage for single stem routes working vertically. 

C. Beck

ATT

Y/A

ANY/A

ADOT

Success%

1D+TD%

EXP%

INTA%

Adj Comp%

OVERALL

237

7.3

6.3

9.1

41.8%

31.7%

12.2%

8.4%

77.1%

Impact AVR

181

7.6

7.04

9.88

45.7%

34.7%

10.3%

7.4%

74.4%

C. Beck

Acc%

Depth Adj Acc%

*UNC%

Drop%

Pressure

Sack

Screen+RPO

Play Action

Outside Pocket

OVERALL

64.9%

47.8%

10.1%

14.8%

15.6%

5.5%

25.9%

26.6%

11.8%

Impact AVR

59.1%

46.4%

20.0%

8.7%

25.4%

7.0%

19.0%

20.5%

16.5%

(STATS COLOR CODED BASED ON PERCENTILE AMONG 44 QBS IN 2025 IMPACT STUDY; TILT TABLE SIDEWAYS ON MOBILE)

With his stature and arm, a play caller has access to everything in the playbook. He might not have amazing drive or top-shelf juice, but he’s crafty changing up his speed for potential completions. He can win with a fastball into a tight window, beat a DB with beautiful backshoulders, layer attempts around obstacles, and lead his dudes out of danger. 

Though Beck can dink and dunk with the best of them, he’s not afraid to risk the biscuit. In fact, over 41% of his throws against heightened competition topped ten yards downfield, making the top10 in our Impact Study. Moreover, Beck tended to be on-target. Only 17% of these throws had no shot of being caught. Haters will point to another effort of being dismissable attacking deep. But, Beck once again maintained midrange mastery despite facing one of the hardest defensive slates. 

C. Beck

20+ Comp%

20+ Acc%

20+ Unc%

20+ INTA

11-20 Comp

11-20 Acc%

11-20 Unc%

11-20 INTA%

Downfield

21.6%

29.7%

21.6%

16.2%

54.1%

54.1%

14.8%

14.8%

Impact AVR

36.4%

31.3%

35.8%

17.4%

53.6%

49.7%

24.8%

11.5%

C. Beck

10+ ADOT

10+ Comp%

10+ Acc%

10+ UNC%

10+ INTA%

10+ DAA%

10+ Adj Comp

10+ ATT

Downfield

19.9

41.8%

44.9%

17.4%

15.3%

43.0%

53.9%

64

Impact AVR

20.9

47.1%

42.7%

28.8%

13.9%

40.2%

54.3%

63.9


(STATS COLOR CODED BASED ON PERCENTILE AMONG 44 QBS IN 2025 IMPACT STUDY; TILT TABLE SIDEWAYS ON MOBILE)

The major knock on Beck, however, is how everything turns to crap when he has to reset, respond to pressure, or improvise outside the pocket. His results in our Impact Study further add ammo to that narrative, even if it's a tad exaggerated. Inconsistent balance, bases, and knockbacks produced subpar Success and First Down+TD Rates for the second-straight study. Beck’s Dropback Pressure:Sack Ratio also finished in the red. And when weighing his throws for how far they traveled past the line of scrimmage, his Depth Adjusted Accuracy% again failed to inspire. Even with drastically improved down-to-down ball placement, plays were routinely left on the field. 

C. Beck

ATT

Y/A

ANY/A

ADOT

Success%

1D+TD%

EXP%

INTA%

All Pressured

37

2.8

1.2

10.2

21.6%

16.2%

2.7%

2.7%

Impact AVR

44.4

5.96

4.02

13.3

31.1%

26.5%

9.8%

10.7%

C. Beck

Adj Comp%

Acc%

DAA%

UNC%

Drop%

DB PRE%

DB Sack%

DB PRE:Sack%

All Pressured

53.9%

45.9%

33.7%

21.6%

18.9%

19.1%

8.3%

43.3%

Impact AVR

57.6%

37.7%

35.4%

38.8%

7.8%

28.6%

8.5%

28.1%

 (STATS COLOR CODED BASED ON PERCENTILE AMONG 44 QBS IN 2025 IMPACT STUDY; TILT TABLE SIDEWAYS ON MOBILE)

Some of that, however, was out of his control. Since 2018, Beck’s 665 “drop yards” from last fall are the highest mark I have on record for an SEC QB. He accumulated a full field’s worth (plus the endzones) more than the next closest conference passer. Butterfingers botched his bottomline and were particularly visible in his Impact sample. Every single breakout is marred by receiving miscues. 

C. Beck

Makeup

Y/A

ADOT

Success%

1D+TD%

EXP%

Outside Pocket

11.8%

6.1

8.6

32.1%

21.4%

7.1%

Impact AVR

16.5%

5.98

10.5

38.8%

31.8%

6.9%

C. Beck

INTA%

Adj Comp%

Acc%

DAA%

UNC%

Drop%

Outside Pocket

3.6%

71.4%

53.6%

28.6%

10.7%

17.9%

Impact AVR

6.9%

68.4%

47.9%

43.9%

33.1%

8.2%

 (STATS COLOR CODED BASED ON PERCENTILE AMONG 44 QBS IN 2025 IMPACT STUDY; TILT TABLE SIDEWAYS ON MOBILE)

Captain Obvious wanted me to remind you: It’s awfully hard to complete passes and obtain cool stats if your targets fail to hang on to every seventh try on average. Granted, some of Beck’s precision did sour year-over-year. But, he still sports the lowest overall Uncatchable Pass Rate; not only across the 2024 SEC season but our study as well. Placing the onus on him seems bad form considering his guys were the ones who just ate popcorn. Even occasionally taking steam off passes didn’t seemingly help diminish the drops.

 (STATS COLOR CODED BASED ON PERCENTILE AMONG 44 QBS IN 2025 IMPACT STUDY; TILT TABLE SIDEWAYS ON MOBILE)

C. Beck

ATT

Y/A

ANY/A

ADOT

Success%

1D+TD%

EXP%

Play Action

45

9.2

8.5

13.0

44.4%

33.3%

17.8%

Impact AVR

29.3

10.4

10.1

15.2

50.3%

42.3%

19.0%

C. Beck

INTA%

Adj Comp%

Acc%

DAA%

UNC%

Drop%

Sack

Play Action

6.7%

71.4%

55.6%

33.8%

11.1%

20.0%

6.7%

Impact AVR

7.3%

70.4%

54.2%

46.5%

24.0%

8.2%

7.8%

And the frustration clearly boiled over into other aspects of his game. That along with a half-cocked run game saw Beck often have to bear the weight of generating explosives for UGA’s offense. As his numbers attest, he did a fine job at that. But the aggressive spray saw nearly 23% of his attempts result in contests. Pair that with the aforementioned lower body issues getting knocked down, back, and off-filter, and it’s easy to explain how Beck developed a backbreaking habit of logging boo boos. 

(STATS COLOR CODED BASED ON PERCENTILE AMONG 44 QBS IN 2025 IMPACT STUDY; TILT TABLE SIDEWAYS ON MOBILE)

C. Beck

ATT

Y/A

ANY/A

ADOT

Success%

1D+TD%

EXP%

Contested

54

4.9

1.9

18.9

22.2%

18.5%

11.1%

C. Beck

INTA%

Adj Comp%

Acc%

Depth Adj Acc%

UNC%

Drop%

Makeup%

Contested

25.9%

34.2%

40.7%

36.5%

14.8%

27.8%

22.8%

Sometimes lacking patience, other times trust, Beck was more prone to lock onto guys and play YOLO ball with his primary read. He did hold his own trying tight windows; but pressing burned him on a number of occasions. Foreground defenders undercut things over the middle and safeties could be guided beyond center field to rob routes. 

C. Beck

ATT

Y/A

ANY/A

ADOT

Success%

1D+TD%

EXP%

INTA%

Dropback

157

8.2

6.8

13.0

45.2%

35.7%

15.3%

11.5%

Impact AVR

129.7

8.1

7.4

12.45

46.5%

36.8%

11.7%

8.6%

C. Beck

Adj Comp%

Acc%

DAA%

UNC%

Drop%

Dropback PRE

Sack


Dropback

70.2%

57.3%

47.7%

13.4%

17.2%

19.1%

8.3%


Impact AVR

70.0%

55.1%

46.0%

22.1%

9.3%

28.5%

7.8%


(STATS COLOR CODED BASED ON PERCENTILE AMONG 44 QBS IN 2025 IMPACT STUDY; TILT TABLE SIDEWAYS ON MOBILE)

There was no “aim small, miss small” about it. Looked upon to make huge plays, his M.O. was typically “go big, or go home” in the Bulldogs’ top games. Even with strong traits, no prospective passer will survive consecutive cracks of double-digit Dropback Interceptable Pass Rates. In pure passing spots inside clean pockets without guises – a breakout Beck previously shined in – the recklessness was on full display. Only former freshman DJ Lagway put up a worse clip in our study. Brash Beck can be explained, but few are willing to outright overlook those returns. 

(STATS COLOR CODED BASED ON PERCENTILE AMONG 44 QBS IN 2025 IMPACT STUDY; TILT TABLE SIDEWAYS ON MOBILE)

C. Beck

ATT

Y/A

ANY/A

ADOT

Success%

1D+TD%

EXP%

Pass “Floor"

87

8.6

7.7

13.8

49.4%

39.1%

16.1%

Impact AVR

68

8.35

8.15

10.9

50.4%

38.4%

10.9%

C. Beck

INTA%

Adj Comp%

Acc%

DAA%

UNC%

Drop %


Pass “Floor"

14.9%

71.4%

59.7%

53.6%

13.8%

16.1%


Impact AVR

8.5%

74.9%

62.3%

50.6%

14.2%

10.4%


In a new environment, he’ll look to replicate what his predecessor just did: Reinvigorate his game, refine his offerings, and be the first overall draft pick. Beck might never be a backyard baller and has clear hangups to address. Still, that doesn’t mean his best self as a striker within structure can’t reemerge and help the Hurricanes return to postseason glory. 

 

Bad Take Brooks Sees a

Jared Goff type

Glossary


Season